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Middle East Energy Corridor Risks Escalate as Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

Middle East Energy Corridor Risks Escalate as Oil Prices and Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

The Houthis claim to have carried out a targeted operation near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait; another vessel attack is reported in the Strait of Hormuz...

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Middle East Energy Risks Escalate as Oil Prices and Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

Middle East Energy Risks Escalate as Oil Prices and Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

Houthi forces move closer to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as oil prices surge above $107; ECB raises rates and signals a hawkish stance...

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FX Forward Points Explained: Rate Differentials, Swaps and the Real Cost of Rolling

FX Forward Points Explained: Rate Differentials, Swaps and the Real Cost of Rolling

A practical framework for calculating forward points, reading quotation signs and separating carry from funding, liquidity and basis effects.

zhan chen

US-Iran Attacks Send Shockwaves Through Energy Markets as Brent Crude Surpasses $100

US-Iran Attacks Send Shockwaves Through Energy Markets as Brent Crude Surpasses $100

US and Iranian forces target oil tankers in the largest wave of attacks since the war began; EIA expects Middle East oil supplies to gradually recover...

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US Forces Strike Iranian Oil Tankers as Conflict Spreads to Energy Sector

US Forces Strike Iranian Oil Tankers as Conflict Spreads to Energy Sector

US forces destroy five Iranian oil tankers; White House releases detailed rules for implementing tariffs on Canadian imports...

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How to interpret COT: net open interest, spread, and publication lag

How to interpret COT: net open interest, spread, and publication lag

An increase in net long positions may mask a decrease in net long positions. The COT example is recalculated, differentiating between trader categories and option equivalents, and separating Tuesday's observations from Friday's information.

ETF Premiums and Discounts: iNAV, Execution and Creation Explained

ETF Premiums and Discounts: iNAV, Execution and Creation Explained

An ETF’s assets can gain while its buyer loses. Recalculate quote-based premiums, creation costs and a shrinking entry premium, while separating cash substitution from cross-border valuation lag.

zhan chen

Bollinger Squeezes and False Breakouts: Why an Outside Close May Not Clear Resistance

Bollinger Squeezes and False Breakouts: Why an Outside Close May Not Clear Resistance

Recalculate a 20-close example to separate Bollinger bandwidth, %b and structural resistance. See why expanding bands are not independent confirmation, what waiting costs and where data or execution can invalidate the setup.

zhan chen

Why a Shrinking MACD Histogram Does Not Confirm a Trend Reversal

Why a Shrinking MACD Histogram Does Not Confirm a Trend Reversal

A rising price can produce smaller positive MACD bars. A full 12, 26, 9 calculation separates zero crossings, divergence and structural confirmation.

zhan chen

Futures Basis, Term Structure and Roll Return: What Actually Changes Your P&L?

Futures Basis, Term Structure and Roll Return: What Actually Changes Your P&L?

A stronger basis need not mean rising prices, and a roll spread is not an immediate loss. Work through contract-level profit, hedge outcomes and the limits of convergence and continuous charts.

zhan chen

Why a Currency Can Rise After a Rate Cut: The Surprise and the Expected Path

Why a Currency Can Rise After a Rate Cut: The Surprise and the Expected Path

Calculate a policy surprise, distinguish monthly overnight-rate pricing from the post-meeting rate, and test whether relative rate expectations explain a currency's rise after a cut.

zhan chen

Why Gold and the Dollar Can Rise Together: Currency Returns and Correlation Windows

Why Gold and the Dollar Can Rise Together: Currency Returns and Correlation Windows

Recalculate gold returns in renminbi and euros, separate currency translation from gold demand, and learn why real yields, observation windows and investment products change the relationship.

zhan chen

Why VWAP Resets: Sessions, Volume Data and Conflicting Chart Signals

Why VWAP Resets: Sessions, Volume Data and Conflicting Chart Signals

The same stock can sit above one VWAP and below another. Worked examples explain session resets, premarket volume, bar approximations, anchors and execution benchmarks.

zhan chen

ATR Position Sizing: Contract Value, Trading Costs and Gap Risk

ATR Position Sizing: Contract Value, Trading Costs and Gap Risk

A two-ATR stop defines a price distance, not a guaranteed loss. Work through stock, futures and FX examples to calculate quantity, costs and execution risk.

zhan chen

August CPI Becomes a Key Variable as Fed Rate Hike Expectations for September Rise

August CPI Becomes a Key Variable as Fed Rate Hike Expectations for September Rise

Waller: The Fed's September rate decision will depend heavily on August CPI; a stable U.S. labor market and rising services-sector price pressures are strengthening expectations for a rate hike...

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Gnosis Pay Rewards Tiers 2026: GNO Holdings & Spending Caps Explained

Gnosis Pay Rewards Tiers 2026: GNO Holdings & Spending Caps Explained

Gnosis Pay rewards tiers explained: compare GNO holdings, cashback rates, OG NFT bonuses, weekly spending caps, card limits, and maximum weekly rewards in 2026.

zhan chen

U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates, Fed Policy Outlook Comes Into Focus

U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates, Fed Policy Outlook Comes Into Focus

Trump said the latest round of U.S. strikes on Iran would not last long; the Beige Book showed that U.S. economic activity increased slightly in recent weeks, while prices rose moderately...

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How to Read Trading Volume: Relative Volume, Divergences and Open Interest

How to Read Trading Volume: Relative Volume, Divergences and Open Interest

Learn what trading volume really measures, how to calculate same-time relative volume, interpret price-volume divergences and open interest, confirm breakouts, and avoid common backtest errors across forex, stocks, gold and futures.

zhan chen

US Government Avoids Shutdown Risk; Geopolitical Game in the Strait of Hormuz Escalates

US Government Avoids Shutdown Risk; Geopolitical Game in the Strait of Hormuz Escalates

US House passes a stopgap funding bill to avert a government shutdown; the US launches a new round of strikes against Iran, with Trump calling the action appropriate...

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How to Draw Support and Resistance Zones and Spot False Breakouts

How to Draw Support and Resistance Zones and Spot False Breakouts

Learn to draw support and resistance zones, use ATR and bar closes to confirm breakouts, assess retests, volume and open interest, and identify false breakouts.

zhan chen

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