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XAU/USD Eyes $4,130 Upside Amid Firm Dollar and Improving Risk Sentiment
Commodity
Summary:
Gold opens the week cautious around $4,008 as a stronger US Dollar and improving risk sentiment cap gains, though technical and macro factors keep the medium-term outlook bullish.
Buy
TradingXAUUSD
EXP
3999.88
Entry Price
4130.00
TP
3960.00
SL
3998.65 -2.58 -0.06%
0
Point
Flat
3960.00
SL
CLOSING
3999.88
Entry Price
4130.00
TP
Gold (XAU/USD) started the week on a tentative note, oscillating within the familiar $3,900–$4,050 trading corridor, as investors digested the latest US monetary policy signals and monitored global risk sentiment. At the time of writing, spot gold was hovering around $4,008, having briefly dipped to $3,962 during early Asian trading, underscoring the metal’s sensitivity to short-term USD fluctuations and risk-on developments in equity markets.
The precious metal’s inability to sustain momentum comes amid a broadly supported US Dollar, reflecting the Federal Reserve’s hawkish undertone following last week’s policy decision. At the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the Fed lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, but emphasized that further easing this year remains unlikely. This stance has reinforced the Greenback, with market participants scaling back expectations for a December rate cut, thereby pressuring dollar-denominated commodities such as gold.
Adding to the headwinds, global equities have shown resilience, bolstered by a de-escalation in US-China trade tensions and encouraging economic data from major markets. The resulting improvement in risk appetite has diverted short-term capital flows away from traditional safe-haven assets, limiting bullion’s immediate upside potential. Analysts note that while this has weighed on gold, the medium-term story remains intact, supported by persistent geopolitical uncertainties, institutional demand, and structural economic risks that continue to anchor the metal’s long-term appeal.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold’s price action retains a bullish structure as long as it remains above key support levels near $3,950. According to technical analysts, a sustained recovery above this base could pave the way for a move toward the next upside target at $4,130. Traders will be closely monitoring intraday price behavior, as a break below support could expose gold to further downside pressures in the short term, whereas a rebound could reignite buying interest from both speculative and institutional participants.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
BUY GOLD
ENTRY PRICE: 4000
STOP LOSS: 3960
TAKE PROFIT: 4130
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