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      XAG/USD (Silver) shows early signs of fatigue amid heavy profit taking

      Gerik

      Economic

      Commodity

      Summary:

      Silver (XAG/USD) is trading around $75.7 / oz, down sharply from recent highs near $80+, reflecting growing bearish pressure as profit-taking intensifies and commodity index rebalancing begins to weigh on precious metals prices...

      Sell

      XAGUSD

      EXP
      PENDING

      75.000

      Entry Price

      73.500

      TP

      78.800

      SL

      79.754 +2.768 +3.60%

      --

      Point

      PENDING

      73.500

      TP

      CLOSING

      75.000

      Entry Price

      78.800

      SL

      Overview 

      Silver’s dramatic upside from 2025’s rally where prices spiked above $83/oz has rolled over into a corrective phase today, with spot prices sliding back toward mid-$70 territory. This drop is visible in both forex data and commodity exchange futures, where March 2026 silver contracts lost significant ground intraday (nearly 3 % on MCX), signaling sellers actively reducing exposure amid fading bullish conviction.
      This price softness comes at a time when annual rebalancing of major commodity indexes is underway, a known structural headwind for silver and gold that typically triggers systematic selling by funds and index-linked strategies. That mechanical pressure combined with headline-driven euphoria fading has pushed prices back below key short-term support levels. 

      Market sentiment 

      In the M15 timeframe, silver has shifted from short-term strength to corrective distribution, with momentum indicators showing clear signs of loss of buying conviction. Price has broken below the $78–$79 range highs and is now trading beneath critical intraday support near $76–$77, which previously held as a dynamic pivot. This price action reflects sell-on-rally behaviour rather than dip-buying, a typical hallmark of a corrective phase. 
      Sentiment is further pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar environment and investors awaiting major U.S. macro catalysts (e.g., jobs data) that could strengthen the dollar and increase opportunity cost for non-yielding metals like silver. 

      Technical analysis 

      XAG/USD (Silver) shows early signs of fatigue amid heavy profit taking_1
      On M15, price is below the mid-band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that bears are currently in control of the momentum. When price loses the mid-band after an extended pullback from extreme highs, it often signals that the short-term trend has shifted to the downside and that corrective momentum may continue toward the lower band or beyond. 
      Ichimoku (9,26,52) highlights that price is under dynamic equilibrium zones (Kijun and cloud boundary) on the intraday chart; failure to reclaim these levels would reinforce bearish bias.
      Stoch (5,3,3) is curving downward from mid-range, signaling that bullish momentum has waned and that downside momentum is picking up a key confirmation signal when paired with loss of dynamic support.
      Key technical zones today:
      Resistance/entry level: ~$77.2–$78.0 (upper range where bulls have been rejected) 
      Immediate support: ~$74.8–$75.2 (lower Bollinger band / session pivot) 
      Downside buffer: ~$73.0–$73.8 (deeper corrective target if momentum accelerates) 

      Trade recommendation 

      Entry: $75.00
      Take Profit: $73.50 
      Stop Loss: $78.80
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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