News
7x24
Quotes
Economic Calendar
Video
Data
- Names
- Latest
- Prev.
With US Shutdown Set to End, Can the Dollar Take Off?
Forex
Summary:
Prospects for a quick resolution to the shutdown are lifting the dollar in the near term, weighing on EURUSD.
Sell
TradingEURUSD
EXP
1.15673
Entry Price
1.12500
TP
1.16100
SL
1.15453 -0.00185 -0.16%
0
Point
Flat
1.12500
TP
CLOSING
1.15673
Entry Price
1.16100
SL
Fundamentals
The protracted federal shutdown of recent weeks has injected fresh macro- and fiscal uncertainty into the U.S. outlook, leaving dollar positioning fragmented: some desks have bought USD as a pure risk-off hedge, while others are short, betting the stand-off will dent U.S. growth and accelerate Fed easing.
Overnight, the Senate moved a stop-gap appropriations bill that—if cleared by the House and signed—would immediately reopen government. Passage would deliver two bearish impulses for EURUSD:
Strip the dollar of its "policy-risk hedge" bid, prompting longs to cover.Restore the flow of economic data and Treasury cash buffers, firming the near-term U.S. backdrop and unwinding some of the aggressive rate-cut premium currently priced into the front end.
Markets are already front-running the outcome: EURUSD has slipped to around 1.1560 as positions pivot ahead of the vote.
Moreover, an extended shutdown has been estimated to exert a sizable drag on U.S. GDP—running into tens of billions of dollars in quarterly losses. In the near term, however, the "shutdown-ending" event is a classic risk-reduction catalyst: it typically lifts both the dollar and equities on risk-repair flows and, via relative rate and liquidity channels, weighs on the euro. With the policy tail-risk now removed, FX investors are inclined to unwind the safe-haven premium they had been paying on the US dollar, leaving the intraday bias skewed toward net USD buying.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, EURUSD remains capped by the neckline of the head-and-shoulders formation near 1.1580 and is intraday pressing the immediate support at 1.1550. A decisive break below this level, coupled with a daily close beneath 1.1550, would validate the head-and-shoulders pattern and open the downside extension toward 1.1400.
Trading Recommendations
Trading Direction: Sell
Entry Price: 1.1560
Target Price: 1.1250
Stop Loss: 1.1610
Valid Until: November 21, 2025, 23:00:00
Support: 1.1468/1.1400
Resistance: 1.1566/1.1591
Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.
Quick Access to 7x24
Quick Access to More Editor-selected Real-time News
Exclusive video for free
FastBull project team is dedicated to create exclusive videos
Real-time Quotes
View more faster market quotes
More comprehensive macro data and economic indicators
Members have access to entire historical data, guests can only view the last 4 years
Member-only Database
Comprehensive forex, commodity, and equity market data
English
English
العربية
繁體中文
简体中文
Bahasa Melayu
Bahasa Indonesia
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
Copyright © 2025 FastBull Ltd
Home News Columns 7x24 Economic Calendar Quotes Video Data WarehouseAnalysis AI Signal Pro User Agreement Privacy Policy About Us
Risk Disclosure
The risk of loss in trading financial assets such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs or crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
No consideration to invest should be made without thoroughly conduct your own due diligence, or consult with your financial advisors. Our web content might not suit you, since we have not known your financial condition and investment needs. It is possible that our financial information might have latency or contains inaccuracy, so you should be fully responsible for any of your transactions and investment decisions. The company will not be responsible for your capital lost.
Without getting the permission from the website, you are not allow to copy the website graphics, texts, or trade marks. Intellectual property rights in the content or data incorporated into this website belongs to its providers and exchange merchants.