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      USD/CAD Stays Near Recent Highs Despite Iran Diplomacy Hopes

      Warren Takunda

      Traders' Opinions

      Summary:

      USD/CAD holds around 1.4035 as hopes of reopening the Strait of Hormuz improve risk sentiment. Falling oil prices, however, limit support for the Canadian Dollar.

      Buy

      USDCAD

      End Time
      CLOSED

      1.40351

      Entry Price

      1.42300

      TP

      1.39000

      SL

      1.40837 +0.00199 +0.14%

      356

      Points

      Profit

      1.39000

      SL

      1.40707

      CLOSING

      1.40351

      Entry Price

      1.42300

      TP

      The Canadian Dollar is little changed against the US Dollar on Tuesday, with USD/CAD trading around 1.4035 after briefly reaching a one-and-a-half-month high near 1.4050. Attempts to extend the pullback below 1.4030 have so far struggled to attract momentum as improving risk sentiment is offset by weaker crude oil prices.
      Markets are responding to fresh signs that tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz could ease. Iran has reportedly proposed reopening the crucial shipping route within seven days of the United States lifting its blockade on Iranian ports. Before the conflict, the Strait handled roughly 20% of global oil supply, making any progress toward restoring normal traffic significant for both energy markets and broader investor sentiment.
      The development follows comments from US President Donald Trump, who indicated that he would be willing to meet Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian during the UN General Assembly in New York. Together, the developments have raised hopes that Washington and Tehran could move toward negotiations after months of conflict.
      For the Canadian Dollar, however, the improving geopolitical backdrop is producing mixed effects. Reduced Middle East supply fears have contributed to the recent decline in crude oil prices, removing some support from the commodity-sensitive CAD. At the same time, hopes of diplomatic progress have improved broader risk appetite, preventing a more substantial deterioration in the Canadian currency.
      This leaves USD/CAD consolidating close to recent highs. The inability to establish a sustained move below 1.4030 suggests Dollar demand remains relatively firm, while weaker oil prices continue to limit the CAD's ability to capitalize fully on the improvement in market sentiment.
      For now, 1.4050 remains an important near-term hurdle, while the market's next move could depend heavily on whether the latest diplomatic signals translate into tangible progress toward reopening Hormuz and reducing regional tensions.

      Technical AnalysisUSD/CAD Stays Near Recent Highs Despite Iran Diplomacy Hopes_1

      USD/CAD has staged a strong recovery on the daily chart, climbing from the September lows around 1.3750 to trade near 1.4033. The latest advance has produced a sequence of higher lows and higher highs, shifting short-term momentum firmly back toward buyers.
      The pair is now testing a particularly important area around 1.3990–1.4035. This zone previously acted as support during July before the August breakdown and has now become the main obstacle to the current recovery. Price has pushed back into this region, and the ability to establish itself above 1.4030–1.4050 would strengthen the case for another leg higher.
      The chart suggests that an initial breakout could be followed by a brief retest of the 1.3990–1.4010 region. Holding this former resistance as support would be an important confirmation that buyers remain in control and would provide a stronger foundation for continuation.
      Above current levels, there is relatively limited visible resistance until the major 1.4220–1.4250 supply zone. This area marked the June peak and represents the principal upside objective. A sustained break through 1.4050 would therefore expose 1.4100 initially before attention shifts toward the larger 1.4230 region.
      On the downside, failure to hold above 1.3990 would delay the breakout and could trigger a deeper correction. The next major demand area sits around 1.3735–1.3760, which has repeatedly attracted buyers and formed the base of the latest rally.
      Overall, the daily structure favors a breakout, retest and bullish continuation scenario. As long as USD/CAD maintains its position around the 1.4000 region, the recovery remains positioned for an eventual extension toward 1.4220–1.4250.
      TRADE RECOMMENDATION
      BUY USD/CAD
      ENTRY PRICE: 1.4035
      STOP LOSS: 1.3900
      TAKE PROFIT: 1.4230
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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