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Silver Surges to Fresh Records as Geopolitical Risk and Institutional Anxiety Fuel Safe-Haven Demand
Traders' Opinions
Summary:
Silver extended a powerful rally to fresh all-time highs near $90.50, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, concerns over US institutional stability, and a macro backdrop that continues to favor precious metals, with technical signals pointing toward a potential move toward $100.
Buy
CLOSEDXAGUSD
End Time
91.906
Entry Price
100.000
TP
86.000
SL
93.039 +2.898 +3.21%
1221
Points
Profit
86.000
SL
93.127
CLOSING
91.906
Entry Price
100.000
TP
Silver (XAG/USD) continued its relentless ascent on Wednesday, extending gains for a fourth consecutive session and trading around the $90.50 level at the time of writing, up roughly 4.3% on the day. The move marks a new all-time high for the white metal and underscores the strength of a rally that is increasingly being fueled by a rare convergence of geopolitical stress, institutional uncertainty, and supportive monetary expectations.
The latest leg higher comes as global risk sentiment remains fragile. Investor demand for safe-haven assets has been reignited by intensifying geopolitical tensions in Iran, where widespread protests linked to soaring inflation, the sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial, and allegations of entrenched government corruption have placed authorities under severe pressure. According to human rights organizations, the government’s response has been increasingly violent, with reports of hundreds of deaths following a crackdown on demonstrators. This escalation has heightened risk aversion across global financial markets.
Adding to the unease, US President Donald Trump has warned that military options could be considered should the repression continue, injecting a further layer of geopolitical uncertainty into an already fragile environment. Historically, such periods of heightened geopolitical risk tend to favor precious metals, and silver has been a prime beneficiary, outperforming many traditional defensive assets.
Beyond geopolitics, silver is also drawing support from growing concerns surrounding institutional stability in the United States. Markets have been rattled by fears over the independence of the Federal Reserve following the launch of criminal charges against Fed Chair Jerome Powell related to the management of funds allocated for the renovation of the central bank’s headquarters in Washington. Powell has strongly rejected the accusations, describing them as politically motivated and warning that they could be used as leverage to influence monetary policy decisions.
Initially, these developments weighed heavily on the US Dollar, as investors questioned whether an erosion of central bank independence could undermine the credibility of US financial institutions and, in a more extreme scenario, threaten the country’s sovereign credit standing. While the greenback has since shown tentative signs of stabilization—helped by vocal support for Powell from major global central banks, including the European Central Bank and the Bank of England—the broader environment remains constructive for precious metals.
At the same time, expectations that the Federal Reserve will eventually be forced to cut interest rates continue to underpin silver prices. With real yields projected to decline and the US Dollar still facing structural headwinds, non-yielding assets such as silver remain highly attractive. This macro backdrop is reinforced by ongoing tightness in the physical silver market, where robust industrial and investment demand continues to limit supply flexibility.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, silver has shown some intraday fluctuations as it attempts to consolidate recent gains and alleviate increasingly overbought conditions. Momentum indicators, particularly the Relative Strength Index, suggest the market is stretched, with early signs of negative overlapping signals emerging. However, these appear corrective rather than trend-changing.
Prices continue to trade comfortably above the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA50), reinforcing the dominance and stability of the prevailing bullish trend on a short-term basis. As long as silver holds above key support levels, the broader technical structure remains constructive. In my view, any near-term pullbacks are likely to be viewed as buying opportunities rather than a signal of trend exhaustion.
With macro risks unresolved, institutional confidence under scrutiny, and monetary conditions tilting in favor of hard assets, silver’s rally appears fundamentally supported. If current dynamics persist, the psychologically significant $100 level is no longer a distant target but a plausible medium-term objective for the market.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
BUY SILVER
ENTRY PRICE: 91.90
STOP LOSS: 86.00
TAKE PROFIT: 100.00
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