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Silver Firms Above $50 as Dollar Softens and Traders Await Critical US Data
Traders' Opinions
Summary:
Silver holds modest gains near $50 as a softer US Dollar, shifting Fed expectations and geopolitical tensions provide support, but traders remain cautious ahead of key US economic data that could spark fresh volatility.
Buy
CLOSEDXAGUSD
End Time
50.300
Entry Price
52.000
TP
48.500
SL
51.356 +0.017 +0.03%
1089
Points
Profit
48.500
SL
51.389
CLOSING
50.300
Entry Price
52.000
TP
Silver (XAG/USD) began the week on a firmer but cautious note, trading around the symbolic $50.00 mark on Monday after rising roughly 0.20%. The move reflects a broader improvement in sentiment across precious metals, with the white metal benefiting from the same macro undercurrents that recently boosted gold — namely a weakening US Dollar and fluctuating expectations of Federal Reserve policy heading into December.
The Dollar’s pressure came following a week of mixed commentary from Federal Reserve officials, who sent conflicting signals on whether policymakers are ready to deliver another rate cut before year-end. This inconsistency prompted traders to trim long-dollar positions, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as silver. Throughout the fourth quarter, silver has been acutely sensitive to even slight changes in interest-rate expectations, and the latest repricing has once again tilted the market cautiously in its favor.
Yet despite the early-week uptick, investors appear unwilling to commit to a decisive move in either direction. Volumes remain subdued as traders look ahead to two major US economic releases: the revised third-quarter US Gross Domestic Product report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. Both indicators are due later this week and have the potential to significantly influence the Fed’s policy trajectory. With precious metals having traded in a relatively tight range over the past several sessions, market participants prefer to wait for these catalysts before establishing larger directional positions.
Geopolitics continues to play an important supporting role. The prolonged Russia–Ukraine conflict and the resurfacing of tensions in the Middle East have sustained demand for safe-haven assets. While gold remains the primary refuge for geopolitical hedging, silver has increasingly shared in the flows, especially as investors look for alternatives with industrial upside. These global uncertainties have helped insulate silver against broader risk-off pullbacks and maintained its appeal in multi-asset portfolios.
The combination of a softer US Dollar, shifting monetary-policy expectations and elevated geopolitical risks provides a supportive backdrop for silver as the week begins. However, the metal’s recent price consolidation underscores a prevailing reluctance to chase prices higher ahead of potentially market-moving data. Should GDP or PCE readings deviate meaningfully from expectations, volatility could return swiftly, particularly given silver’s tendency to magnify moves compared with gold.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, silver’s intraday rebound brought it back toward the key $50.25 resistance area, a level that has repeatedly acted as a near-term ceiling. Despite this retest, the broader technical picture remains fragile. Prices continue to trade below the 50-day exponential moving average, indicating lingering downward pressure, while momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index have begun flashing overlapping negative signals after recently reaching overbought territory. This combination suggests that while buyers remain active, momentum is tentative and vulnerable to shifts in sentiment.
The break of a minor short-term bullish trendline last week adds to that caution, highlighting a softening in upward momentum even as the metal probes resistance once again. If silver manages to push above $50.33, the next notable area of interest lies around $51.08, a psychologically important level that has functioned as structural resistance in the past. A more extended advance would likely confront significant selling interest near $52.14, a historically meaningful level on longer-term charts that has previously capped bullish extensions. Conversely, a failure to hold above the $50.00 threshold could expose silver to renewed downside pressures, especially if US economic data reinforces the Dollar or dampens expectations for a near-term rate cut.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
BUY SILVER
ENTRY PRICE: 50.30
STOP LOSS: 48.50
TAKE PROFIT: 52.00
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