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      EURAUD Reclaims 1.66 Zone: False Breakout or Continuation Before Reversal?

      Gerik

      Forex

      Summary:

      EUR/AUD is fluctuating around ~1.66, aligning with your updated price and recent recovery from the 1.63 zone.Recent historical data shows the pair previously traded around 1.63–1.65, confirming this move is a short-term rebound....

      Sell

      EURAUD

      End Time
      CLOSED

      1.66200

      Entry Price

      1.64200

      TP

      1.67000

      SL

      1.66863 +0.00482 +0.29%

      800

      Points

      Loss

      1.64200

      TP

      1.67000

      CLOSING

      1.66200

      Entry Price

      1.67000

      SL

      Overview

      As of now (GMT+7), EUR/AUD is trading near 1.66, marking a strong intraday push from the recent base around 1.63–1.64. This rebound comes after a broader downtrend from February highs near 1.68–1.70, meaning the pair is still structurally bearish on higher timeframes. The current move appears to be driven by short-term EUR strength or AUD pullback rather than a fundamental trend shift. Importantly, price is now approaching a previous supply zone where selling pressure historically emerged, making this a critical decision area. Without strong macro catalysts, such rebounds often represent liquidity grabs rather than sustainable trend reversals.

      Market Sentiment

      Market sentiment is shifting into a neutral-to-bearish trap zone. While the rally toward 1.66 may attract breakout buyers, the broader context shows EUR has been weakening against AUD over recent weeks. This creates a classic scenario where late buyers enter at resistance while institutional players distribute positions. The lack of strong continuation from previous rebounds suggests that upside momentum is fragile. Smart money behavior typically sells into these rallies, especially when the pair approaches prior breakdown levels. This reinforces a “sell high” environment rather than trend reversal confidence.

      Technical Analysis

      EURAUD Reclaims 1.66 Zone: False Breakout or Continuation Before Reversal?_1
      On the M15 timeframe, price is currently pushing into the upper Bollinger Band (20,0,2), signaling short-term overextension. The bands are expanding upward, but without strong continuation candles, this often leads to rejection. Ichimoku (9,26,52) shows price attempting to break above the Kumo cloud, but the breakout lacks confirmation, indicating a high probability of failure. Tenkan-sen is above Kijun-sen but starting to flatten, showing weakening bullish momentum. Stochastic (5,3,3) is deep in overbought territory, increasing the probability of a pullback. Key resistance sits at 1.662–1.667, while support is at 1.648, followed by 1.635. A rejection from current levels would confirm continuation to the downside.

      Trading Recommendation

      Entry: 1.662
      Take Profit: 1.642
      Stop Loss: 1.670
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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