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Ethereum’s Rebound Lacks Strength, Short-Term Still Under Pressure
Cryptocurrency
Summary:
Ethereum is currently quoted at $3,879. After Thursday’s meeting between U.S. and China leaders, overall market risk appetite did not improve significantly, and the crypto market remained in a narrow trading range. Although some investors expected that easing geopolitical tensions might revive risk assets, major cryptocurrencies failed to extend their rebound momentum. In the short term, Ethereum is constrained by technical resistance and outflows of capital, and may continue to oscillate in the $3,800–4,000 range.
Buy
TradingETH-USDT
EXP
3642.15
Entry Price
4380.00
TP
3340.00
SL
3573.25 -15.67 -0.44%
0
Point
Flat
3340.00
SL
CLOSING
3642.15
Entry Price
4380.00
TP
Fundamentals
Recently the market focus has been on the U.S.–China leaders’ meeting and the monetary policy outlook from the Fed. Geopolitical risk once drove a strengthening dollar and weighed on high-risk assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. After the U.S.–China meeting, no significant stimulus or economic/financial cooperation signals were released, global market sentiment became cautious, which deprived the crypto market of a catalyst for rebound.
In addition, according to CoinShares data, Ethereum-related fund products recorded around $25 million in net outflows last week, marking the third consecutive week of outflows, reflecting institutional investors’ cautious stance on short-term performance. Meanwhile, Ethereum network activity did not improve significantly — on-chain transaction volume and DeFi total value locked (TVL) both fell about 3% compared with September, indicating that the fundamentals currently lack the internal strength to drive prices higher.
On the policy front, the Fed is maintaining a tone of “keeping rates high for a longer period,” which continues to suppress valuations of risk assets. If October’s U.S. PCE data remains elevated, it may further weaken the rebound space for cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis
Ethereum’s price, after breaking above $4,000 in mid-October, was repeatedly capped near the $4,100–4,300 range, forming a temporary top. Currently the price has fallen back to around $3,879, and the short-term structure is in a downward trend channel.
The first support lies at $3,820; if it is broken, the next target will be around $3,720 (previous heavy trading zone).
On the upside, resistance is at $3,950 and $4,020; only a successful breakthrough above $4,000 might allow the short-term structure to reverse from bearish.
Ethereum’s price failed to benefit from a rebound in risk appetite after the U.S.–China leaders’ meeting, reflecting the market’s continued caution about macro and liquidity conditions. Short-term trend remains weak, investors should closely monitor inflation and employment data, as well as ETH main-net development progress and fund flow changes. In the absence of fundamental drivers, Ethereum’s price is very likely to remain in a range, with a defensive stance advised while waiting for a new directional signal.
Trade Recommendations
Trade Direction: Buy
Entry Price: 3645
Target Price: 4380
Stop Loss: 3340
Valid Until: November 14, 2025 23:55:00
Support: 3840 / 3710 / 3649
Resistance Levels: 4024 / 4115 / 4253
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