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      Bullish Momentum Eases but Trend Holds; Consolidation to Underpin Next Leg Up

      Eva Chen

      Commodity

      Summary:

      Gold traded sideways at elevated levels over the weekend. Stronger US jobless claims data dented expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts, slowing gold’s ascent. Meanwhile, receding fears of US military action against Iran sapped safe-haven demand, capping prices. Still, gold is poised for a weekly gain of over 2%, having hit a fresh all-time high intraweek, with the medium-term uptrend remaining intact.

      Buy

      XAUUSD

      End Time
      CLOSED

      4603.88

      Entry Price

      4782.00

      TP

      4539.00

      SL

      4663.55 +67.12 +1.46%

      6488

      Points

      Loss

      4539.00

      SL

      4538.83

      CLOSING

      4603.88

      Entry Price

      4782.00

      TP

      Fundamentals

      Gold traded in a consolidative range during Friday’s session. A drop in US initial jobless claims pointed to lingering labor market resilience, cooling bets on an imminent Fed rate cut. This diluted gold’s appeal as a non-interest-bearing asset, curbing further upside.
      A marginal retreat in risk aversion also weighed on prices, as concerns over US strikes on Iran eased sharply, narrowing risk premia. That said, gold retained a robust weekly performance, touching an all-time high earlier in the week and on track for a >2% gain. In contrast, silver significantly outperformed gold with an around 15% weekly surge, driven by industrial and speculative demand, even as the Trump administration delayed additional tariffs on critical minerals.
      Gold edged lower on Thursday, snapping a three-day streak of marginal record highs (peaking at around $4,630, $4,634 and $4,643). The sentiment shift was closely tied to President Trump’s comments on Iran and his relationship with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Trump struck a dovish tone, ruling out hasty military action against Iran and downplaying rumors of dismissing Powell before his term ends in May, which cooled short-term market sentiment.
      While the short-term uptrend has paused, the core drivers supporting precious metals remain unchanged. Expectations for a global monetary policy pivot, lingering geopolitical uncertainties, and the long-term outlook for lower real interest rates continue to underpin gold. Against this backdrop, gold is likely to enter a phase of consolidation to build momentum for a subsequent trend rally, rather than reversing course.
      Bullish Momentum Eases but Trend Holds; Consolidation to Underpin Next Leg Up_1

      Technical Analysis

      Gold’s price swings were limited on Friday. After a brief dip to $4,581, prices held above $4,600. However, overbought daily indicators (plus RSI bearish divergence) keep downside risks intact.
      Initial key support lies at $4,580 (the consolidation range’s secondary floor), followed by the range bottom at $4,564. A break below this level could trigger a sharp selloff.
      Nonetheless, gold’s broader uptrend remains unbroken. For a downside reversal, a head-and-shoulders pattern would need to form on the 4-hour chart, whereas current price action resembles a periodic harami pattern. Therefore, the strategy recommendation is to buy on dips amid base-building.

      Trade Recommendations

      Trade Direction: Buy
      Entry Price: 4600
      Target Price: 4782
      Stop Loss: 4539
      Valid Until: 13 Feb, 2026, 23:55:00
      Support: 4581/4550/4500/4458
      Resistance Levels: 4643/4687/4700/4720
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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