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Bitcoin stabilizes after volatile week
Cryptocurrency
Summary:
BTC/USD is consolidating after a three-day slide that briefly pushed spot toward the high-$99k area, while the U.S. Dollar Index eased to ~98.99 on 13/11 and equity volatility held in the high-teens. ...
Buy
TradingBTC-USDT
EXP
100200.0
Entry Price
104800.0
TP
8400.0
SL
95724.7 -1078.2 -1.11%
0
Point
Flat
8400.0
SL
CLOSING
100200.0
Entry Price
104800.0
TP
Overview
BTC closed 13/11 near ~$99.2k after a choppy stretch that saw closes north of $103–107k earlier in the week, with Asia trade today starting from a lower base but not accelerating the downside. Macro drivers are balanced: the Fed’s 25 bp cut on 29/10 lowered the policy range to 3.75%–4.00% but officials signaled that another move in December is “not a foregone conclusion,” keeping the dollar in a broad range instead of a trend and leaving risk assets sensitive to incremental data.
The DXY’s pullback to ~98.99 on 13/11 modestly loosens financial conditions compared with the early-week test of 100, a tailwind for non-yielding assets if it persists. The tape therefore looks like digestion rather than capitulation, with levels resetting toward $100k as traders reassess the dollar and the Fed path.
Market sentiment
Positioning is cautious after heavy redemptions earlier this month, but not one-way. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs printed a strong $524m net inflow on 11/11 the best single day since early October before flipping back to outflows on 12/11, illustrating that larger allocators are testing the waters rather than abandoning exposure. With VIX anchored in the high-teens to low-20s regime, the absence of disorderly cross-asset stress allows crypto to trade its own levels, and dollar slippage below 99 reduces immediate headwinds.
The lesson for near-term risk is that flow volatility remains a feature, but macro conditions no longer argue for forced selling so long as DXY stays sub-99.5.
Technical analysis
The M15 structure is rebuilding from oversold conditions. Price is rotating back toward the Bollinger mid-line after tagging the lower band near the high-$99ks; sustained holds of the 20-period mean would typically precede a retest of the upper band into the $102–104k zone.
Ichimoku shows price attempting to reclaim the cloud after spending hours below it; a clean recapture and hold of the Kumo top would convert the ~$100k–$100.5k pocket into dynamic support, with Tenkan crossing up through Kijun as the tell that momentum is turning.
Stoch (5/3/3) has curled up from mid-range; a %K cross above %D from roughly the 40–50 band on a shallow dip often foreshadows an upper-band extension. Failure to hold the cloud would risk another sweep toward ~$98.5–$99k, but with DXY easing and ETF flows mixed rather than uniformly negative, the path of least resistance on M15 favors buying controlled pullbacks. Recent closes and the 13/11 settle near $99.2k corroborate these levels.
Trade Recommendations
Entry: 100,200
TP: 104,800
SL: 98,400
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